%0期刊文章%@ 1438- 8871% I JMIR出版物%V 19卡塔尔世界杯8强波胆分析% N 5% P e152% T花粉应用程序预测评估:e - health服务质量控制的需求%A Bastl,Katharina %A Berger,Uwe %A Kmenta,Maximilian %+研究小组空气和花粉信息，维也纳医科大学耳鼻喉学系，HNO-Klinik, 8J, Währinger Gürtel 18-20，维也纳，1090，奥地利，43 140400 ext 33380，katharina.bastl@meduniwien.ac.at %K花粉预测%K花粉信息服务%K手机应用%K花粉预测质量%K过敏原避免%D 2017 %7 08.05.2017 %9原创论文%J J医学互联网Res %G英文%X背景:花粉预测对于避免过敏原，从而提高花粉过敏相关人群的生活质量具有很高的价值。它们被认为是对公众有价值的免费服务。到目前为止，还没有对花粉预测的准确性和可靠性进行仔细的科学评估。目的:通过分析9款花粉信息和花粉预测手机app，重点分析其对2016年草花粉季花粉负荷预测的准确性，评估其对花粉过敏患者的有用性。方法:对每个地点的应用程序数量进行评估:维也纳(奥地利)有3个应用程序，柏林(德国)有4个应用程序，巴塞尔(瑞士)和伦敦(英国)各有1个应用程序。所有移动应用程序都是免费提供的。今天的草花粉预测在每个特定的草花粉季节与测量到的草花粉浓度进行了比较。命中率的精确性能和公差范围为±2和±4花粉每立方米。 Results: In general, for most apps, hit rates score around 50% (6 apps). It was found that 1 app showed better results, whereas 3 apps performed less well. Hit rates increased when calculated with tolerances for most apps. In contrast, the forecast for the “readiness to flower” for grasses was performed at a sufficiently accurate level, although only two apps provided such a forecast. The last of those forecasts coincided with the first moderate grass pollen load on the predicted day or 3 days after and performed even from about a month before well within the range of 3 days. Advertisement was present in 3 of the 9 analyzed apps, whereas an imprint mentioning institutions with experience in pollen forecasting was present in only three other apps. Conclusions: The quality of pollen forecasts is in need of improvement, and quality control for pollen forecasts is recommended to avoid potential harm to pollen allergy sufferers due to inadequate forecasts. The inclusion of information on reliability of provided forecasts and a similar handling regarding probabilistic weather forecasts should be considered. %M 28483740 %R 10.2196/jmir.7426 %U //www.mybigtv.com/2017/5/e152/ %U https://doi.org/10.2196/jmir.7426 %U http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/28483740